The 10 AM infrared satellite image shows the swirl of the huge storm, with its center just offshore of the WA/OR border.
As predicted the cyclone brought strong winds along the Oregon coast (see below), with gusts to 60-70 mph. A few exposed peaks even higher.
Now it is our turn. Winds are rapidly increasing over western Washington and the max gusts so far (as of 10 AM) have reached 40- 50 mph on the southern WA coast and 72 mph at Destruction Island. Gusts to 30-40 mph have reached the south Sound and NW Washington. But you haven't seen anything yet!
The latest UW WRF model (the same one to be used in our proposed regional climate simulations) indicates a 10 AM position of a deep (975 hPa) low due west of the Long Beach Peninsula
With movement northward during afternoon (5 PM shown below).
The WA coast is going to be hit very hard, with 60-70 mph gusts.
The latest NWS HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) surface wind forecasts over western WA are scary. Here are the gust forecasts at 2 PM, 5 PM and 8 PM.
40-50 mph gusts everywhere and a number of areas (e.g. the coast, NW WA) experiencing 50-60 mph. If this is true, expect substantial tree damage and power outage.
So please keep away from trees this afternoon and tonight (such in parks or the Burke-Gilman trail in Seattle).
As of 11 AM, tens of thousands of customers have lost power over Oregon and southwest Washington. This is going to be a major event.
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Will Such Storms Increase Under Global Warming? Help Us Determine the Local Impacts of Climate Change
Society needs to know the regional impacts of climate change and several of us at the UW are trying to provide this information with state-of-the-art high resolution climate modeling. With Federal funding unavailable, we are experimenting with a community funding to build this effort. If you want more information or are interested in helping, please go here. The full link is: http://ift.tt/2nltDeR All contributions to the UW are tax deductible.
from Cliff Mass Weather Blog http://ift.tt/2o6h4WJ
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